SotA-R-10: Combined Models 4 and 5 Suggest 62% Change of Exceeding 3Β°C of Average Global Warming
(This is part 9 of the βStages of the Anthropocene, Revisitedβ Series (SotA-R).) The previous episode in this series explained a few problems of the last iteration of the model used to better understand feedbacks between climate change and socio-political and economic circumstances (i.e. βModel 4β). Additionally, in another recent post, I mentioned that the relation between atmospheric carbon and warming is probably better treated as linear, with time lag explaining the discrepancy between a linear equation and the current level of warming. Furthermore, that post also addressed the issue of tipping points (and other neglected feedbacks), leading to an...