Stages of the Anthropocene
preface (2022) There are major mistakes in the predictions and calculations involved in this article. For an attempt to come up with better predictions (and thus, an update of this article), see the SotA-R series. The model results presented in the last episode thereof, suggest 3Β°C to 5Β°C of average global warming. (Original post) β Climate scientists donβt often look at the distant future and when they do, their βpredictionsβ are so vague that they hardly count as predictions at all. Most published work on climate change focuses on the current century. There are good reasons, for this, of course...
Crisis and Inertia (2) β Climate Change
(This is part 2 in the βCrisis and Inertiaβ series.) Surprisingly many people seem to be under the impression that climate change wonβt really affect them. βSure, it will get a little bit warmer, but thatβs what air conditioners are for, and sea level rise doesnβt really affect me because I donβt live on the coast and it is slow anyway.β Something like that appears to be general idea. Unfortunately, that idea is wrong. Very wrong. Climate change will have much bigger effects than air conditioners and coastal protection can fix. The exact nature of those effects is uncertain, however,...