SotA-R-4: Preliminary Notes on Modeling Carbon Emission Scenarios in Stage 1 of the Anthropocene
(This is part 4 of the โStages of the Anthropocene, Revisitedโ Series (SotA-R).) The purpose of this series is an update of the mid- and long-term prediction of aspects of the global climate relevant for the prospects of continuing human civilization in Stages of the Anthropocene. The idea is to develop a model that can be relatively easily expanded, fine-tuned, and corrected when new or better information becomes available. The present episode in the series consists of a number of notes of a relatively technical nature on how to build this model. COโ emissions and economic growth The level of...
Crisis and Inertia (2) โ Climate Change
(This is part 2 in the โCrisis and Inertiaโ series.) Surprisingly many people seem to be under the impression that climate change wonโt really affect them. โSure, it will get a little bit warmer, but thatโs what air conditioners are for, and sea level rise doesnโt really affect me because I donโt live on the coast and it is slow anyway.โ Something like that appears to be general idea. Unfortunately, that idea is wrong. Very wrong. Climate change will have much bigger effects than air conditioners and coastal protection can fix. The exact nature of those effects is uncertain, however,...